Initial Reactions...
A run-off for US Senate?
I've always said BAR was too busy running for November and not thinking about March like she should have been. He might be an old-coot, but one shouldn't underestimate the name of Gene Kelly. It gets to a point that being "perennial" actually helps one out. I was checking out which counties were going for Kelly: Zavala, Atascosa, Brazoria, Brooks, Calhoun, Chambers, Dimmit, Duval, Fort Bend, Frio, HARRIS (very close!), Hidalgo (very close!), Jim Wells, Kinney, LaSalle, Liberty, Matagorda, Maverick, Refugio, Starr, Uvalde, Victoria, Willacy. Those in bold (partly bold means some Hispanic influence) are significantly Hispanic counties and some had turnout that was above the state rate. Relying solely on the metro and East Texas rural areas may not be enough.
Cuellar & Ciro: Round 2? I hope!
Did Victor Morales do us a favor? Will Ciro get another month to keep smacking Cuellar around? At the very least, this is a good campaign opportunity for Radnofsky--she can do some rural South Texas sweeps that would include those small counties that went for Kelly. The Early Vote turnout in Laredo was almost as much as Bexar County's overall turnout! Which reminds me: I need to call the Zavala County Elections Office to see if my 15-years dead daddy voted, and for whom! Update 8:48am: Cuellar Wins; Pero Go Spurs (see new posting).
BINDERIM & TRAUTMAN IN LANDSLIDES!!!
Ha ha ha! That one's a freebie! But Joe Crabb did get a bit of a run for his money from Joe Stunja. I had predicted a 60-40 race, and it's almost true. Could the 40% that supported Stunja skip on over to Trautman? Her game plan is to hit them as much as possible. There's even a Republicans for Trautman group going around. Update: 1:40am: The bad news? While Stunja took out a $40K family loan and collected a little over $2000 in contributions, Crabb spent $6K and collected almost $90K in contributions. Then, four telegram reports were filed totaling $11K.
Bell Coasts
I am SO glad that Democrats rejected the politics of yesteryear. I'm even more ecstatic that Chicano Democrats (almost 2 to 1 in Hidalgo and Webb) voted overwhelmingly for Bell.
Why Maria Luisa?
With the Laredo vote finally being counted, it looks like Maria Luisa Alvarado will be the top vote-getter. And why should Democrats vote for Maria Luisa? On top of her qualifications and her energy; not to mention that she adds some color to our ballot (we're not a Whites-only Party, people!), Ben Grant is part of the politics of yesteryear that Bell supporters voted against--remember that. I don't care about the Farty Thirty. We need new energy that at the very least tries to look like the state of Texas. Update 12:27am: I hope she's the top vote-getter. I'm disappointed that Harris County didn't vote Maria Luisa--I wonder why? Update 8:48am: Looks like she almost cleared 40% and was the top vote-getter. It'll be a fun run-off that I'll get more involved in.
Pa' Fuera Madla
Madla got what he deserved. I'm not a big fan of Uresti's, but I'm glad Madla is out.
Raymond and Martinez
The early ballots in Laredo/Webb tell us that at the very least, HD42 will have a run-off that will bring out voters that could help Radnofsky. It's been 50-50 BAR and Kelly there. Update 8:50am: Can Raymond pull it off? 2 boxes left to count in Laredo.
Bailey Stays
Well, incumbancy in a low-turnout district usually ends up being the factor. Looks like less than 2,000 total voters will decide a House District race. Perennial incumbancy usually leads to low turnout, too. It'll take a long-term concerted effort to wake up the majority of voters in District 140 and other "brown" areas of Houston.
Could it be Edwards and Miles?
As the evening continues, Al Edwards lead continues to slightly decrease. Will he be able to earn 50% plus one vote? And if there is a run-off, who does one support? Update 12:21am: Edwards goes below 50%...it's a run-off, it's a run-off.
Ana Hernandez in Trouble?
Newly-turned Republican "conservative" Dorothy Olmos won the Repug nomination with 158 votes! This spells trouble for Ana Hernandez, who will be fighting for her first full term in November. (Are you laughing hysterically, yet?).
No Surprise
It'll be Tommy vs Lampson. One can expect the same types of anti-Lib ads to bring out the vote for DeLay.
Orlando loses---GACHO, vato!
Patrick Smokes 'em
Looks like, with Tommy D, John Culberson, and now Dan Patrick heading up the ballot in November, we can expect hate and division to resonate. Look for it in their ads, their websites, hell, it wouldn't surprise me if anti-Immigration 527s start popping up for certain candidates.
I've always said BAR was too busy running for November and not thinking about March like she should have been. He might be an old-coot, but one shouldn't underestimate the name of Gene Kelly. It gets to a point that being "perennial" actually helps one out. I was checking out which counties were going for Kelly: Zavala, Atascosa, Brazoria, Brooks, Calhoun, Chambers, Dimmit, Duval, Fort Bend, Frio, HARRIS (very close!), Hidalgo (very close!), Jim Wells, Kinney, LaSalle, Liberty, Matagorda, Maverick, Refugio, Starr, Uvalde, Victoria, Willacy. Those in bold (partly bold means some Hispanic influence) are significantly Hispanic counties and some had turnout that was above the state rate. Relying solely on the metro and East Texas rural areas may not be enough.
Cuellar & Ciro: Round 2? I hope!
Did Victor Morales do us a favor? Will Ciro get another month to keep smacking Cuellar around? At the very least, this is a good campaign opportunity for Radnofsky--she can do some rural South Texas sweeps that would include those small counties that went for Kelly. The Early Vote turnout in Laredo was almost as much as Bexar County's overall turnout! Which reminds me: I need to call the Zavala County Elections Office to see if my 15-years dead daddy voted, and for whom! Update 8:48am: Cuellar Wins; Pero Go Spurs (see new posting).
BINDERIM & TRAUTMAN IN LANDSLIDES!!!
Ha ha ha! That one's a freebie! But Joe Crabb did get a bit of a run for his money from Joe Stunja. I had predicted a 60-40 race, and it's almost true. Could the 40% that supported Stunja skip on over to Trautman? Her game plan is to hit them as much as possible. There's even a Republicans for Trautman group going around. Update: 1:40am: The bad news? While Stunja took out a $40K family loan and collected a little over $2000 in contributions, Crabb spent $6K and collected almost $90K in contributions. Then, four telegram reports were filed totaling $11K.
Bell Coasts
I am SO glad that Democrats rejected the politics of yesteryear. I'm even more ecstatic that Chicano Democrats (almost 2 to 1 in Hidalgo and Webb) voted overwhelmingly for Bell.
Why Maria Luisa?
With the Laredo vote finally being counted, it looks like Maria Luisa Alvarado will be the top vote-getter. And why should Democrats vote for Maria Luisa? On top of her qualifications and her energy; not to mention that she adds some color to our ballot (we're not a Whites-only Party, people!), Ben Grant is part of the politics of yesteryear that Bell supporters voted against--remember that. I don't care about the Farty Thirty. We need new energy that at the very least tries to look like the state of Texas. Update 12:27am: I hope she's the top vote-getter. I'm disappointed that Harris County didn't vote Maria Luisa--I wonder why? Update 8:48am: Looks like she almost cleared 40% and was the top vote-getter. It'll be a fun run-off that I'll get more involved in.
Pa' Fuera Madla
Madla got what he deserved. I'm not a big fan of Uresti's, but I'm glad Madla is out.
Raymond and Martinez
The early ballots in Laredo/Webb tell us that at the very least, HD42 will have a run-off that will bring out voters that could help Radnofsky. It's been 50-50 BAR and Kelly there. Update 8:50am: Can Raymond pull it off? 2 boxes left to count in Laredo.
Bailey Stays
Well, incumbancy in a low-turnout district usually ends up being the factor. Looks like less than 2,000 total voters will decide a House District race. Perennial incumbancy usually leads to low turnout, too. It'll take a long-term concerted effort to wake up the majority of voters in District 140 and other "brown" areas of Houston.
Could it be Edwards and Miles?
As the evening continues, Al Edwards lead continues to slightly decrease. Will he be able to earn 50% plus one vote? And if there is a run-off, who does one support? Update 12:21am: Edwards goes below 50%...it's a run-off, it's a run-off.
Ana Hernandez in Trouble?
Newly-turned Republican "conservative" Dorothy Olmos won the Repug nomination with 158 votes! This spells trouble for Ana Hernandez, who will be fighting for her first full term in November. (Are you laughing hysterically, yet?).
No Surprise
It'll be Tommy vs Lampson. One can expect the same types of anti-Lib ads to bring out the vote for DeLay.
Orlando loses---GACHO, vato!
Patrick Smokes 'em
Looks like, with Tommy D, John Culberson, and now Dan Patrick heading up the ballot in November, we can expect hate and division to resonate. Look for it in their ads, their websites, hell, it wouldn't surprise me if anti-Immigration 527s start popping up for certain candidates.
posted by Dos Centavos at 10:55 PM
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